Wednesday, October 2, 2024
Sports

49ers vs. Seahawks Best Same Game Parlay Picks for Thursday Night Football

The Seattle Seahawks still have a fighting chance for a shot at the NFC West division, but a loss tonight on Thursday Night Football to the San Francisco 49ers would eliminate their chances.

Seattle hosts San Francisco at Lumen Field tonight where they look to even the series this season at a game apiece. The 49ers walloped the Seahawks in Santa Clara back in Week 2 27-7, covering the spread by a wide margin with the total clearing the under easily.

It’s worth noting that the 49ers have struggled in this matchup over the last decade in Seattle; going just 2-8-1 ATS in the Pacific Northwest.

Here’s the latest odds for tonight’s matchup:

For tonight’s matchup, there’s several betting plays and props I like individually, many of which  you can find HERE. Here, I’ve put together a five-leg “best same game parlay,” or SGP, that if every bet hits, would pay off at significantly higher odds than simply betting each of them individually.

Remember, SGP’s are meant as a fun, low-cost betting option for a bigger payout, but are by no means a profitable strategy when wagering.

For tonight, a $25 wager on this same game parlay would win $213.65 at +854 odds.

Best Same Game Parlay Picks for 49ers vs. Seahawks

  • Seahawks Alternate Spread +10.5 (-330)
  • Christian McCaffrey OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
  • Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-150)
  • Geno Smith Alternate 200+ Passing Yards (-310)
  • Will Dissly OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Seahawks Alternate Spread +10.5

I’ve bet the Seahawks to cover the +3.5 already, but with several betting options available to change the spread, let’s give ourselves some breathing room and add another touchdown to our advantage.

The Seahawks have always played San Francisco well in their building, and with Kenneth Walker III returning for Seattle, the Seahawks have gone 5-2 straight up (SU) in the games where he’s been their starting running back.

Having the potential Offensive Rookie of the Year back in the backfield opens up play-action for Geno Smith, and to give D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett time for separation downfield. I’d be stunned if Seattle can’t keep it close at home with the 49ers travelling on short rest.

Christian McCaffrey OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards

I pointed out in my Thursday Night Football Best Prop Bets article that McCaffrey is in line to receive a major workload in the passing game with No. 1 wideout Deebo Samuel out this week for the Niners.

According to Sharp Football Analysis, the 49ers have thrown the ball a grand total of 61 times with Samuel not on the field. On 30% of those throws, McCaffrey has been the targeted receiver.

The Seahawks have also struggled against pass-catching running backs this season, allowing the third-most receiving yards to running backs in 2022.

Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown Scorer

McCaffrey faces a Seahawks defense as the primary running back, and perhaps the number one option in the passing game for Brock Purdy as well.

It’s an exciting matchup for anyone backing CMC to find the end zone. Seattle ranks only ahead of the Houston Texans, Cleveland Browns and Chicago Bears for the most rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs this year with 13 given up, and have also allowed another three through the air.

Purdy will take advantage of McCaffrey’s availability in multiple facets of the game, giving him the opportunities he needs to get in for six, and a green checkmark on our parlay.

Geno Smith 200+ Passing Yards (Alternate)

Smith is going to need to make some big plays downfield for the Seahawks to have a chance against the hottest defense in the NFL right now.

Right now, Smith’s passing yards range anywhere from 235.5 to 243.5 based on what sportsbook you’re looking at, so once again, we give ourselves a massive cushion for him based on the latest lines.

As an additional prop tonight, I also like Geno to hit the over on 20.5 completions; hitting in six straight games and seven of his last 10.

Will Dissly OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards

Dissly has cleared this number in five straight matchups and eight of his last 10 games.

Did he lay a goose egg in Week 2 vs. San Francisco? He 100% did, but given the amount Geno is throwing his way, I believe it’s a reasonable number to project.

The 49ers have been very good, for what it’s worth against tight ends all season, but it’s also important to note that three of the last four at the position cleared this number vs. San Francisco.

Dissly is both too talented and too impactful to the Seahawks’ offense to be ignored in another key game vs. their division rivals.

Follow all of Ben’s betting plays in real-time HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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