Best NFL prop bets for Steelers vs. Ravens in Week 17 (Fade this Najee Harris total in Baltimore)
The NFL postseason remains up for grabs in the AFC, and despite a 7-8 record, the Pittsburgh Steelers could inch their way closer when they head to Baltimore to face the Ravens; also chasing a shot at the AFC North.
A win tonight keeps their chances alive to win the division when they face the Cincinnati Bengals in the regular season finale in Week 18. A loss all but eliminates them from the top spot, although Cincinnati still has yet to play their Week 17 matchup; hosting the Buffalo Bills on Monday night.
A win tonight would also give Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin a shot to continue his streak of never having a losing season during his tenure in Pittsburgh.
Here are the latest betting odds for Sunday Night Football:
BetSided’s Iain MacMillan has your best bet for tonight’s matchup here, but if you’re looking to focus on the player props market, here are three worth considering on the board this evening as well.
Best NFL prop bets for Steelers vs. Ravens
- Najee Harris UNDER 57.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
- Mark Andrews OVER 3.5 receptions
- Gus Edwards anytime touchdown scorer
Najee Harris UNDER 57.5 Rushing Yards
Via John LanFranca, the Ravens own the best rush defense based on Football Outsiders’ DVOA rankings since Week 8, with the addition of Roquan Smith from Chicago playing a monumental role in their upgraded run-stuffing ability.
Harris, despite plenty of volume, is still averaging only 3.7 yards per carry, and the Ravens’ will likely dare rookie Kenny Pickett to try and beat them through the air on the road. Despite Harris clearing this in one of his last two games, he still averaged 3.6 YPC in the process.
I just don’t trust him to break a big run to deliver.
Mark Andrews OVER 3.5 receptions
The last time Andrews saw less than five targets in a game goes all the way back to October 23, and while he’s failed to go over this number in three straight games, the matchup sets up well for Andrews to come through.
Pittsburgh, despite a massively improved defense since T.J. Watt returned, still ranks 28th in the NFL in yards/pass, and middle of the pack in points/play.
Andrews has been on the wrong side of variance, and I’m expecting some positive regression in prime time.
Gus Edwards anytime touchdown scorer
Edwards remains a trusted option against a suspect Steelers’ run defense, despite not getting the volume of his teammate J.K. Dobbins.
In Week 16, Edwards ranked second in the NFL amongst running backs in yards-per-carry. Over the last two weeks, “Bus” has put up just under 8.5 yards per rush. Dobbins has also only handled 50% of short yardage situations, so for the extra value, John Harbaugh is still likely to give Edwards opportunities to succeed near the goal line.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
