Every NFL team’s odds to win the Super Bowl following opening days of free agency

March 16, 2023 ndowd

NFL free agency is underway and we’ve already seen several marquee names sign big contracts. Derek Carr is now in New Orleans, Jimmy Garoppolo is in Las Vegas, and Javon Hargrave moved from Philadelphia to San Francisco, just to name a few.

There are still a few more dominos to drop, like Orlando Brown or a potential Jets’ acquisition of Aaron Rodgers, but next year’s Super Bowl odds are crystalizing a few days into the mayhem.

Let’s take a look at where each team’s Super Bowl odds stand below and if any are value bets, though let’s first see how you can secure a guaranteed $365 win from Bet365!

Bet365 Special Promo

If you sign up for Bet365 and bet $1 or more on any game in any sport, you’ll win $365 in bonus bets GUARANTEED regardless of your wager’s outcome!

All you have to do is sign up for Bet365, deposit at least $10, then bet $1 or more on any game. Once your wager settles, you’ll receive $365 in bonus bets to use freely.

After you’ve secured your $365, perhaps you’ll want to use some of those bonus bets on one of these Super Bowl futures:

Every NFL team’s odds to win the Super Bowl

Kansas City Chiefs: +600
San Francisco 49ers: +700
Buffalo Bills: +850
Philadelphia Eagles: +850
Cincinnati Bengals: +900
Dallas Cowboys: +1400
New York Jets: +1400
Baltimore Ravens: +2500
Denver Broncos: +2500
Miami Dolphins: +2500
Detroit Lions: +2500
Los Angeles Chargers: +2500
Jacksonville Jaguars: +2800
Green Bay Packers: +3500
Cleveland Browns: +3500
New Orleans Saints: +3500
Las Vegas Raiders: +4000
New York Giants: +4000
Minnesota Vikings: +4500
Chicago Bears: +5000
Pittsburgh Steelers: +5500
Carolina Panthers: +5500
New England Patriots: +6000
Los Angeles Rams: +6000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +6500
Washington Commanders: +7000
Seattle Seahawks: +7000
Atlanta Falcons: +7500
Tennessee Titans: +8000
Indianapolis Colts: +15000
Houston Texans: +20000
Arizona Cardinals: +20000

3 teams to bet now

Looking at the NFL landscape, three of these teams jump out to me as potential values.

Kansas City Chiefs (+600)

As long as Patrick Mahomes stays healthy, the Chiefs should be closer to +400. After signing Jawaan Taylor and Charles Omenihu, Kansas City filled two critical holes left after Frank Clark and Orlando Brown’s respective departures. The team should be even better next year, while the rest of the AFC looks weaker at the top.

Buffalo and Cincinnati both have to replace crucial defensive contributors, while the Lamar Jackson contract dispute hamstrings Baltimore. I’m not a believer in Aaron Rodgers at this stage of his career, so the Jets aren’t scary either. At +600 odds, the Chiefs are an excellent value.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2800)

I believe the Jags and Jets should be flipped here, as Trevor Lawrence’s rapid rise will make Jacksonville a contender as soon as next year. Adding Calvin Ridley from suspension and resigning Evan Engram gives the offense dynamic playmakers alongside Travis Etienne and Christian Kirk, while the defense should take a step forward next year as its recent high-draft picks continue to develop.

The Colts, Texans, and Titans have the three worst Super Bowl odds of all AFC teams. With little-to-no competition in the division, Jacksonville will cruise to a home playoff game and will end the season closer to +1200 to win the Lombardi.

New York Giants (+4000)

Surveying the landscape of the NFC, things get thin quickly after the Eagles and 49ers. There’s a power vacuum near the top of the conference and the Giants are poised to step into that void.

Daniel Jones is back for another year of development under quarterback-whisperer Brian Daboll after a strong showing last year. Darren Waller is a huge acquisition and gives Jones a legitimate pass-catching option, though I expect another move at wide receiver whether in the draft or free agency.

Bobby Okereke is a great get for the linebacker room, and I trust this coaching staff to have the Giants back in the playoffs with shorter odds than +4000.

—

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

source